EUR Vol: Implieds finish lower after volatile ECB session
Implieds finish lower after volatile ECB session
Euro implieds have finished the session lower despite a volatile day in the underlying. The ECB delivered a 25bps hike as expected but added that inflation is projected to remain too high for too long.
Euro fixed income sold off - adding to earlier losses following the overnight FOMC and amid a 30% spike in Dutch gas prices - before tracking USTs higher, then lower again, in the afternoon session. The 10y Bund future was last down 47 ticks while the 10y Bund yield +5bps at 2.50%.
“Overall, we came out of the ECB with the signal there will be one more hike this summer and then things will pause. By then the growth data will likely start to look a bit bleak and it’s going to be hard for them to hike again,” one euro vol trader reckoned.
The biggest decline today was in 1m expiries with 1m10y declining by -5.6 to 78.8 normals, as the event risk got taken out of the market.
Further out, 1y expiries finished the session about 2 normals lower. Longer-dated vega pieces also declined, such as 5y5y -0.8 at 87.9 and 10y10y -0.3 at 74.1.
For euro option trades on the SDR see here and for volumes please see here. Note that the Total Derivatives SDR now shows broker/platform information for each trade, where available.
New structured issues