JPY Swaps: 2s/10s at recent high; Future erases losses after China data

Steep path 21 Jun 2021
2s/10s JPY swaps steepened up to recent high despite bond future erasing losses after China data and the surprising rate cut.

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  • JGB future down after strong GDP

  • …but erases losses after China data and rate cut

  • 2s/10s at recent high


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JGB future down after strong GDP

JGB future was weaker at the open, tracking similar move in the USD rates market in overnight trading and after strong domestic data.


Official data released earlier today showed that GDP in Japan was up by 6% year-on-year in the second quarter. This compared to 3.7% of growth in the first quarter and economists’ forecast of 2.9% of growth.



…but erases losses after China data and rate cut

The lead bond future was down by 14-ticks before erasing all the losses in mid-morning domestic trading. The move was triggered by weak economic data from China, as the country unexpectedly cut 1-year rate by 15bps which was also bigger than most players had anticipated.


By mid-day JGB future was up 11-ticks at 146.73, and the yield on the benchmark 10-year JGB was up half a basis point at 0.613%, after being marked up to 0.628% in earlier trading.



2s/10s at recent high

Trading remained cautious as USD/JPY has still been hovering around the alarming level. At time of writing the pair was trading around 145.5 and players have been tipping an intervention around 145.


Flow wise, 10-year traded briefly at 0.79%, down 0.75bp from previous close. It was then paid back up to 0.805% after lunch break and steepening 2s/10s swaps by 0.5bp to 68.25bps, the steepest since early March.